Monday, January 14, 2019

Electronics Tower of Babel: AI/5G/Robotics!!!


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4-25-17 
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great overview of massive 5G architecture delusions    http://www.bbcmag.com/2017mags/Mar_Apr/BBC_Mar17_5GNotAnswer.pdf
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8-11-16    Many people have promised us that 5G will be here very soon.  And it will be the best thing ever. To quote Lowell McAdam, the CEO of Verizon, 5G is "wireless fiber," and to quote SK Telecom, thanks to 5G we will soon be able to "transfer holograms" because the upcoming standard is "100 times faster" than our current communications system 4G LTE. But if we were to quote Science, the distant future isn't nearly as lofty as the one promised by executives.     
  Backchannel explains:  "5G" is a marketing term. There is no 5G standard -- yet. The International Telecommunications Union plans to have standards ready by 2020.  So for the moment "5G" refers to a handful of different kinds of technologies that are predicted, but not guaranteed, to emerge at some point in the next 3 to 7 years. (3GPP, a carrier consortium that will be contributing to the ITU process, said last year that until an actual standard exists, '"5G' will remain a marketing & industry term that companies will use as they see fit.”  At least they're candid.)  At the moment, advertising something as "5G" carries no greater significance than saying it's "blazing fast" or "next generation" -- nut because "5G" sounds technical, it's good for sales. We are a long way away from actual deployment. [...] Second, this "wireless fiber" will never happen unless we have... more fiber.  Real fiber, in the form of fiber optic cables reaching businesses and homes. (This is the "last mile" problem; fiber already runs between cities.)  It's just plain physics. In order to work, 99% of any "5G" wireless deployment will have to be fiber running very close to every home and business. The high-frequency spectrum the carriers are planning to use wobbles billions of times a second but travels incredibly short distances and gets interfered with easily.  So it's great at carrying loads of information -- every wobble can be imprinted with data -- but can't go very far at all.
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5G Wireless Technology: Cutting Through the Hype

   CTIA asserts that the nation's wireless industry is prepared to invest $275 billion in 5G which will yield three million new jobs and $500 billion in economic growth. If we win the global race, the "next-generation of wireless will drive $2.7 trillion of new economic benefits to American families and businesses."
  The CTIA has denied for decades that there are adverse health effects from exposure to wireless radiation. By establishing a revolving door between its leadership and the FCC's, the CTIA ensures that the federal regulatory agency maintains the inadequate, obsolete radio frequency exposure limits which the FCC adopted in 1996.  The FCC and federal health agencies have been oblivious to the health concerns raised by more than 240 scientists from 41 nations who have published peer-reviewed research on the biologic or health effects of exposure to electromagnetic fields.
  This September more than 200 scientists and doctors from 35 countries signed a declaration demanding a moratorium on the planned increase of cell antennas for 5G deployment in the European Union. Concerns over health effects from higher radiation exposure include potential neurological impacts, infertility, and cancer.
  The following excerpts were extracted from a 23-page special report from RCR Wireless that cuts through much of the hype surrounding the deployment of 5G. The excerpts are direct quotes from the report. RCR Wireless is a trade publication that has reported on the wireless industry and wireless technology since 1982.

Transitioning to a 5G World
Kelly Hill, RCR Wireless, November, 2017   -Excerpts from the Report-
  Hype is certainly high for 5G, given that the industry is still technically in a pre-standard phase and that stand-alone 5G systems are still some time off.
5G is coming even faster than originally expected. In December, the first official specification from the Third Generation Partnership Project is expected to be released; 5G New Radio will finally make its standardized debut – although like Long Term Evolution, 5G will continue to evolve and be refined in the coming years.  
  “5G will not replace LTE, Rysavy Research concluded in an August report for the GSMA. “In most deployments, the two technologies will be tightly integrated and co-exist through at least the late-2020s.”
  Although the industry is preparing for 5G, LTE [4G] capabilities will continue to improve in LTE Advanced Pro through the rest of the decade,”  Rysavy wrote .... 5G will eventually play an important role, but it must be timed appropriately so that the jump in capability justifies the new investment.
KT, for example, plans to support two different frequencies from the get-go in its 5G network: 3.5 GHz as an anchor with better propagation, complemented by 28 GHz in dense areas. Given that networks are expected to initially be 4G/5G networks, testing will have to continue to support LTE alongside 5G.
  Hurtarte of LitePoint noted that although “millimeter wave” tends to be treated as one category, there are significant differences between the components and frequency planning needed at 28 GHz versus 39 GHz. In addition, although some frequencies are widely agreed upon, there are other frequencies that may get the nod for 5G use: 24 GHz in China, possibly 40-43 Ghz and possibly even above 70 GHz.
  There are some major challenges to the success of 5G, which are all interrelated: the move to mmwave, the need for ultra-density, and the question of when the economics of 5G will actually work well enough to take off.
  Mmwave [millimeter wave] provides the huge bandwidths that are needed for fast speeds and high capacity, but the higher the frequency, the shorter its range and more susceptible it is to being easily blocked and reflected (thus the need for beam-forming in order to focus the energy more tightly). Seasonal foliage, energy efficient glass windows with special coatings, and standard housing materials all present effective barriers to mmwave reaching indoors to customer premise equipment, operators and vendors have found in their field testing.
  Denisowski pointed out that fixed wireless is one thing, but moving objects are another. Obstruction, not radiating sources of energy, is likely to be the main cause of interference in 5G systems: vehicles driving back and forth, or even wind farms can scatter microwave radiation.
  Density of foliage “plays a big role,” said Thadasina of Samsung, which has been working with a number of carriers on 5G trials. “What we found is that for the mmwave signal, as it penetrated through trees, the thickness of the trees matters. Initially the impedence offered by foliage is linear, but beyond a certain density it is no longer linear … it kills the signal.”  Building materials are well-known to play a role in transmission from outdoors to indoors, he added, but the angle of incidence does as well. The difference between 30 degrees to 60 degrees to 90 degrees can create additional impedance, Thadasina said, “some of those things make it challenging in terms of closing the link.” Moisture levels play a role as well, he said ....
  Fiber is fuel for 5G, and its prevalence is increasing. SNL Kagan found earlier this year that global fiber residential investment increased sharply in 2016, and that fiber is on track to reach 1 billion subscribers by 2021.  Meanwhile, in the U.S., Vertical Systems Group reported that 49.6% of multi-tenant and enterprise buildings had access to fiber last year, compared to only 10% in 2004.
  Deloitte said earlier this year that it expects to see $130 billion-$150 billion in “deep fiber” investment in the U.S. over 5-7 years, due to a combination of broadband competition, ensuring 5G readiness, and expanding fiber into new areas.
  Murphy of Nokia said that operators should expect that, depending on which frequency they deploy in, they will need 2.5 to 10 times as many sites as they have now. That’s a tall order, especially given that small cell sites in cellular frequencies can take 18 to 24 months to get site approvals – scaling small cells has been hard enough in LTE, with the market moving much more slowly than analysts had predicted or carriers would like....
  So the biggest question is where a breakthrough is going to happen that becomes the point at which 5G becomes a more attractive investment than LTE. “What can 5G do that other systems can’t? This is where there is no clear answer,” said Hemant Minocha, EVP for device and IoT at TEOCO. There is no 5G requirement for IoT [Internet of Things], he points out, and the business case hasn’t yet been proven out for ultra-low latency (not to  mention that LTE is capable of lower latency than it has achieved to this point in networks).
• Many features and architectures in LTE, particularly gigabit LTE, will both underpin future 5G networks and provide lessons learned in making 5G systems work. These include dense fiber deployment, higher-order and massive MIMO, network slicing, virtualization, and mobile edge computing.
• The biggest challenge for 5G lies in a millimeter-wave based RAN, with significant challenges ahead for designing and deploying a workable, optimized and profitable mmwave network on a large scale.
  The RCR Wireless report, "Transitioning to a 5G World," can be downloaded at http://bit.ly/5Ghype.

Related posts
Other resources:
Drew FitzGerald, Wall Street Journal, Jan 9, 2019

Marguerite Reardon, c|net, Jan 8, 2019

Isaac Mayer, Techspot, Dec 22, 2018

2018 was the year of 5G hype. The 5G reality is yet to come   Brian Fung, Washington Post, Dec 21, 2018

Jacob Kastrenakes, The Verge, Dec 21, 2018

Troy Wolverton, Business Insider, Dec 14, 2018

Ron Amadeo, Ars Technica, Dec 14, 2018

Sean Hollister, The Verge, Dec 4, 2018

Joyce Nelson. Watershed Sentinel, Nov 5, 2018.

Jeremy Kaplan, Digital Trends, Oct 26, 2018

Shara Tibken, c|net, Oct 25, 2018

Foo Yun Chee, Reuters, Oct 19, 2018

Strategy Analytics, Business Wire, Oct 18, 2018

Frederica Kolwey, Jackson Hole News & Guide, Oct 17, 2018    

Robert Cheng, c|net, Oct 17, 2018

Dexter Johnson, IEEE Spectrum, Oct 11, 2018

Ali Breland, The Hill, Sep 30, 2018

Mike Elgan, Computerworld, Sep 29, 2018

Ali Breland, The Hill, Sep 26, 2018

Jon Brodkin, Ars Technica, Sep 21, 2018

FCC's 5G masterstroke little more than big biz cash giveaway – expert   Kieren McCarthy, The Register, Sep 19, 2018

John C. Dvorak, PC Magazine, Aug 22, 2018.

Ed Sperling, Semiconductor Engineering. Aug 22, 2018.

Jof Enriquez, RF Globalnet, June 1, 2018

Karl Bode, Motherboard, May 4, 2018

Ernest Worthman, AGL Media Group, Apr 19, 2018

Bruce Kushnick, Medium, Mar 8, 2018

David Lazarus, Los Angeles Times, Jan 9, 2018

Olga Kharif and Scott Moritz, Bloomberg, Dec 18, 2017

Christer Tornevik, ITU Workshop on 5G, EMF and Health, Dec 5, 2017

Merinda Teller, MPH, PhD, Weston A. Price Foundation, Dec 1, 2017

Larry Thompson and Warren Vande Stadt, Broadband Communities. March/April, 2017

Susan Crawford, Wired, Aug 11, 2016


     https://www.saferemr.com/2017/11/5g-wireless-technology-cutting-through.html
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by Peter Brueghel the Elder

  Babylon becomes, in history, the fountainhead of false religion in the Post-Flood world.  The city Babylon and Iraq figure in Biblical prophecies connected with the end of the age. "Mystery Babylon" is an even more theme in Bible prophecy. Revelation 17-18 depicts God's final judgment of world religion plus world commerce and trade since these man-made systems have sprung from the source rebellion of Nimrod and Babel.  See Thy Kingdom Come, Thy Will be Done... for a description of the place of Babylon in Biblical eschatology.

The Tower of Babel

by Ray C. Stedman

  The appearance of the first city [after the flood, built by Nimrod] goes back in the story of Cain and Abel, when Cain went out and built a city.  It illustrated the hunger of humanity to huddle together for companionship, even though they were not really ready to do it (as they still, obviously, are not ready to live together successfully in cities).  God's final intention is to build a city for man.  Abraham looked for "a city which has foundations, whose builder and maker is God."  But man was not yet ready for that.   http://www.ldolphin.org/babel.html

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