Tuesday, December 15, 2020

virus increase/day rates

12-15   Brazil 37/701= 5.3% increase/day last 5 days ave. https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/brazil/

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Russia 27/500= 5.4% increase/day last 2 days ave. https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/russia

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India 24/320= 7.5% increase/day last 2 days ave. https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/india

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Germany 20/340= 5.9% increase/day  last 2 days ave.  https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/germany

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USA 200/6560= 3% increase/day  https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us

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Iran 7.6/232.5= 3.3% increase/day last 2 days ave.  https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/iran

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Indonesia 5.5/88= 6.2% increase/day https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/indonesia

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Turkey 29/192= 15% increase/day last 2 days ave. https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/turkey

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2019-nCoV joins the four coronaviruses now circulating in people. “I can imagine a scenario where this becomes a fifth endemic human coronavirus,” said Stephen Morse of Columbia University’s Mailman School of Public Health, an epidemiologist and expert on emerging infectious diseases.  “We don’t pay much attention to them because they’re so mundane,” especially compared to seasonal flu.

Although little-known outside health care and virology circles, the current four “are already part of the winter-spring seasonal landscape of respiratory disease,” Adalja said. Two of them, OC43 and 229E, were discovered in the 1960s but had circulated in cows and bats, respectively, for centuries.  The others, HKU1 and NL63, were discovered after the 2003-2004 SARS outbreak, also after circulating in animals. It’s not known how long they’d existed in people before scientists noticed, but since they jumped from animals to people before the era of virology, it isn’t known whether that initial jump triggered widespread disease.  https://www.statnews.com/2020/02/04/two-scenarios-if-new-coronavirus-isnt-contained/

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