Thursday, April 5, 2018

12 warning signs of big trouble ahead

1)    4-5-18   Russia told Britain at the United Nations Security Council on Thursday that “you’re playing with fire and you’ll be sorry” over its accusations that Moscow was to blame for poisoning a former Russian spy and his daughter.  https://www.reuters.com/article/us-britain-russia-salisbury-un/youll-be-sorry-russia-tells-britain-at-u-n-nerve-agent-attack-meeting-idUSKCN1HC2M2
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2)   3-26-18     “The Russian military is well-positioned to launch a short-notice conventional war in Ukraine and a hybrid war in the Baltic states, the opposite of what Western leaders seem to expect in each theater,” Catherine Harris and Frederick Kagan wrote in a March joint report for the Institute for the Study of War and the American Enterprise Institute’s Critical Threats Project.https://www.dailysignal.com/2018/03/26/nato-braces-putins-next-military-move-eastern-europe/
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3)   3-7-18     A new report from the Rand Corporation warned that NATO would be overwhelmed by superior Russian firepower in the event of war in Eastern Europe, despite years of trying to strengthen its forces in the region.
 -Russian T-14 tanks roll along Red Square during a rehearsal for the Victory Day military parade, in Moscow, on May 7, 2017.
  If war were to break out, the report warns, Russia could quickly overrun the Baltic region and use “brinksmanship to attempt to freeze the conflict,” according to lead author Scott Boston and colleagues.  http://www.newsweek.com/russia-would-overrun-nato-european-war-report-warns-835146
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4)    2-28-18   “It should be clear to everyone that the United States’ very own servicemen are preparing the armed forces of European countries for the utilization of tactical nuclear arms against the Russian Federation,” Rus For. Min. Lavrov argued.  http://www.newsweek.com/us-preparing-europe-nuclear-hit-russia-foreign-minister-says-824027
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5)   1-14-18   Nordic and Baltic nations, including Sweden and Estonia, took part in huge military drills last year over seriously-held concerns that Putin would order a large-scale invasion in the near future.https://www.dailystar.co.uk/news/world-news/673925/russia-election-vladimir-putin-donald-trump-europe-united-states-nato-wargames-ww3
..............................................................................................................6)       12-22-17  But the ante is way up now:  The US has shared what it describes as "convincing" evidence of illegal Russian actions with NATO allies and has recently begun sketching out plans for its own new medium-range missile to go into production if the INF turns out to be irrevocably scratched.
Washington would not have shared such detailed data, said one official who was only authorized to speak anonymously, unless it knew for certain that Russia had committed a serious and sizable violation....
Many observers fear escalation is what lies ahead unless diplomatic efforts are stepped up in such a way as to force Moscow to come clean about its activities and destroy the illegal components.  But this would be a tall order for even the most promising of negotiations, which INF verification talks are not likely to be....
"The Kremlin's increasing reliance on nuclear weapons in its policy calculations, its nuclear rhetoric, military concept and underlying posture is worrying," Lithuania's NATO Ambassador Vytautas Leskevicius told DW, mentioning the Iskander presence in particular.
"Taken together with concerns about Russia's new missile systems that are being developed in violation of the INF Treaty and Russia's multiple sub-strategic nuclear weapons, this introduces a high degree of uncertainty and instability."  http://www.dw.com/en/escalation-threat-high-as-us-russia-inf-anti-missile-treaty-falters/a-41896421
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11-22-17  Russian president was speaking at a conference of military leaders in Sochi:  “The ability of our economy to increase military production and services at a given time is one of the most important aspects of military security,” Mr Putin said.  “To this end, all strategic, and simply large-scale enterprise should be ready, regardless of ownership.”
A day earlier, the president had spoken of a need to catch up and overtake the West in military technology.  “Our army and navy need to have the very best equipment — better than foreign equivalents,” he said.  “If we want to win, we have to be better.” https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/vladimir-putin-russia-business-war-production-sochi-military-talks-a8069951.html
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8)    11-9-17   "Vladimir Putin has decided to intimidate and harass democracies and a large part of the Western political establishment has not realized it yet," the declaration, by a Prague think tank published on November 9, states.   "Some countries get intimidated by threats, others are given promises such as seemingly sweetheart energy deals if they adopt a more anti-Western, antidemocratic and antiliberal posture," it continues.  "Regardless, almost all countries are attacked with a mixture of espionage, corruption, organized crime, and unceasing multilevel and multichannel disinformation campaigns."   https://www.rferl.org/a/russia-threat-to-democracy-western-response-european-values-think-tank/28842909.html
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9)    11-1-17   Eight EU member states urged European External Action Service to intensify its actions aimed at countering Russian propaganda work and hybrid warfare in a letter dispatched on October 12.  The signatories of the letter sent to Federica Mogherini, High Representative of the Union for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy, were the foreign ministries of six former communist states – Croatia, the Czech Republic, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, and Romania, along with the British and Swedish foreign ministries.  https://europeanwesternbalkans.com/2017/11/01/group-eu-member-states-castigating-russian-propaganda-expands/
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10)     6-17-17   "If we want to keep our civilization in this turbulent and rapidly changing world with growing centers of power — not only military power, but also economic and cultural — then, of course, Europe and Russia should be together," Putin said, citing Kohl's ideas.  "You know our position, which is that we are ready for this.  We need our partners to be ready for that as well, they should get rid of phobias of the past," the Russian president said, adding that Kohl was also calling for Europe to do so and look at the future.   https://sputniknews.com/europe/201706171054728314-putin-russia-europe-together/
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11)     2-7-15  Anders Fogh Rasmussen, the former head of Nato, said that Russia was likely to intervene in the Baltic states to test NATO’s shaky commitment to collective defence.  ‘This is not about Ukraine.  Putin wants to restore Russia to its former position as a great power.’...
  Pomerantsev took me aside and told me to look at the reports Russian TV was showing from the Donetsk region.  He had never seen anything like the piles of corpses and the humiliation of captives before.  Far from playing its old games with conspiracy theorists, it looked as if the new and decidedly unpost-modern line from the Kremlin was ‘prepare the viewers for war’.
  If he’s right, then a divided Europe, which spends as little as it can on its armed forces, will have to face the fact that Putin will try to humiliate it by sending undercover troops into the Nato countries on the Baltic.  You might say he would be mad to do so....
‘When someone is crossing the yard coming for you, you have to kill him before he kills you.  If you don’t, if you manage to survive, you will have to become someone’s bitch.  That’s the calculus that every oligarch and every Russian politician goes through every day.’     -B. Browder in his authobiography https://blogs.spectator.co.uk/2015/02/do-these-grotesque-pictures-show-that-putin-wants-europe-as-his-bitch/
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12)     From early Sept to early Nov. 2019 the progresed Moon of the Soviet Union birthchart comes to 13-15 degrees Taurus , hence into a full fixed cross with Sun, Saturn, and Uranus of the natal chart.  (Moon by progression advances 13.18 degrees/year; in 102 years advances 1344 degrees which is by reduction to circle an advance of 264 degrees.)  This is a major danger point.   -r, mt. shasta

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