Tuesday, January 5, 2021

positivity for anti-SARS-CoV-2 RBD antibodies from Sept 2019, in n. Italy

 1-5-21  Brazil 21/662= 3.2% increase/day  new cases/active cases  https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/brazil/

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Turkey 9.9/77.6= 12.8% increase/day  https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/turkey

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Russia 24.3/535= 4.5% increase/day ave. last 3 days  https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/russia

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Germany 12/347= 3.5% increase/day https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/germany

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South Korea 1/16.8= 6% increase/day  https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/south-korea

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South Africa 13/159= 8.2% increase/day  https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/south-africa

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Argentina 8.2/136= 6% increase/day https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/argentina

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USA 189/8152= 2.3% increase/day https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us

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India 17/215= 7.9% increase day ave. last 3 days  https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/india

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Indonesia 6.7/104= 6.4% increase/day https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/indonesia

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Japan 2.9/37.7= 7.7% increase/day https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/japan

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Canada 10.5/66= 15.9% increase/day https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/canada

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Mexico 5.7/117.4= 4.9% increase/day  https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/mexico

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Switzerland 7/129= 5.4% increase/day https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/switzerland

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Nigeria 1.1/12= 9.2% increase/day https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/nigeria

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Italy 12.5/558.5= 2.2% increase/day  https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/italy/

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  A further specific SARS-CoV-2 antibodies test was carried out by the University of Siena for the same research titled “Unexpected detection of SARS-CoV-2 antibodies in the pre-pandemic period in Italy”.  It showed that four cases dated back to the first week of October 2019 were also positive for antibodies neutralizing the virus, meaning they had got infected in September, Giovanni Apolone, a co-author of the study, told Reuters “This is the main finding:  people with no symptoms not only were positive after the serological tests but had also antibodies able to kill the virus,” Apolone said.  “It means that the new coronavirus can circulate among the population for long and with a low rate of lethality not because it is disappearing but only to surge again,” he added.  Italian researchers told Reuters in March that they reported a higher than usual number of cases of severe pneumonia and flu in Lombardy in the last quarter of 2019 in a sign that the new coronavirus might have circulated earlier than previously thought.   https://www.cnbc.com/2020/11/15/coronavirus-emerged-in-italy-earlier-than-thought-study-shows.html

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2021   in a specimen collected from a 4-year-old boy who lived in the surrounding area of Milan and had no reported travel history.  On November 21, 2019, the child had cough and rhinitis; about a week later (November 30), he was taken to the emergency department with respiratory symptoms and vomiting.  We describe the earliest evidence of SARS-CoV-2 RNA in a patient in Italy, ≈3 months before Italy’s first reported COVID-19 case.  These findings, in agreement with other evidence of early COVID-19 spread in Europe, advance the beginning of the outbreak to late autumn 2019 (6,810).  https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/27/2/20-4632_article

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1-3-21  Evolutionary virologist P. Forster conjectured,  “My dating suggests sometime between September and December 2019.  Some scientists said it came to Italy from China, but I am not so sure.”…

  Notably two peaks of positivity for anti-SARS-CoV-2 RBD antibodies were visible:  the first one started at the end of September, reaching 18% and 17% of IgM-positive cases in the second and third weeks of October, respectively.  A second occurred in February 2020 with a peak of over 30% of IgM-positive cases in the second week. 

https://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:J6OGXKDhrEAJ:https://www.unz.com/article/covid-chronicle-crumbling/+&cd=11&hl=en&ct=clnk&gl=us

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